Wheat exports from Romania and Bulgaria have risen by 35 per cent: competition is intensifying for grain sellers in the Baltic states

Romania and Bulgaria increased their total wheat exports by 35 per cent during the first 2026–2027, taking advantage of a good harvest and disruptions to grain supplies from Ukraine and Russia. Both Black Sea region countries are competing more actively for international buyers, for whom securing reliable deliveries is a priority. This growth in exports may alter the competitive landscape for Lithuanian grain sellers.

According to data from analysts at “ASAP Agri”, Romania exported 4.4 million tonnes of wheat via the Port of Constanța between July and September, compared with 3.4 million tonnes during the same period a year ago. This represents an increase of approximately 29 per cent.

In October, a further 408,000 tonnes of grain had already been shipped via this port.

Bulgaria exported 2.3 million tonnes of wheat during the first three months of the season, compared with 1.6 million tonnes a year ago. This represents a rise of almost 44 per cent. A further 662,000 tonnes were shipped in October.

The rise in exports was driven by two key factors – a better-than-average harvest and more challenging supply conditions for competitors. Disruptions to exports from Ukraine and Russia created opportunities for Romanian and Bulgarian traders to more actively capture the markets that were becoming available.

This trend is important for Lithuanian grain exporters when planning sales outside the European Union, particularly in markets where wheat from the Baltic and Black Sea regions competes for the same buyers.